Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001905 0.002038 0.002175 0.002328 0.002495 0.002671 0.002870
2024-12-22 0.001703 0.001887 0.002085 0.002317 0.002580 0.002871 0.003218
2024-12-29 0.001550 0.001763 0.002002 0.002289 0.002628 0.003017 0.003499
2025-01-05 0.001436 0.001670 0.001939 0.002271 0.002675 0.003153 0.003766
2025-01-12 0.001330 0.001575 0.001862 0.002227 0.002681 0.003233 0.003961
2025-01-19 0.001254 0.001508 0.001813 0.002208 0.002711 0.003338 0.004189
2025-01-26 0.001154 0.001407 0.001714 0.002120 0.002647 0.003317 0.004247
2025-02-02 0.001132 0.001400 0.001732 0.002177 0.002769 0.003539 0.004635
2025-02-09 0.001104 0.001383 0.001735 0.002215 0.002865 0.003729 0.004990
2025-02-16 0.001103 0.001400 0.001780 0.002309 0.003040 0.004034 0.005520
2025-02-23 0.001064 0.001366 0.001756 0.002309 0.003084 0.004158 0.005798
2025-03-02 0.001005 0.001301 0.001689 0.002245 0.003036 0.004148 0.005878
2025-03-09 0.000958 0.001254 0.001648 0.002221 0.003051 0.004243 0.006141
2025-03-16 0.000921 0.001220 0.001623 0.002219 0.003100 0.004390 0.006495
2025-03-23 0.000880 0.001178 0.001585 0.002196 0.003114 0.004486 0.006776
2025-03-30 0.000844 0.001142 0.001553 0.002180 0.003137 0.004595 0.007085
2025-04-06 0.000803 0.001096 0.001506 0.002138 0.003118 0.004635 0.007281
2025-04-13 0.000773 0.001064 0.001476 0.002120 0.003133 0.004731 0.007577
2025-04-20 0.000725 0.001005 0.001405 0.002036 0.003041 0.004646 0.007551
2025-04-27 0.000719 0.001007 0.001424 0.002091 0.003172 0.004934 0.008204
2025-05-04 0.000709 0.001002 0.001431 0.002126 0.003273 0.005179 0.008798
2025-05-11 0.000713 0.001018 0.001470 0.002216 0.003469 0.005596 0.009747
2025-05-18 0.000693 0.000998 0.001455 0.002215 0.003511 0.005748 0.010205